Tuesday’s contest that pits the North Texas Mean Green (11-4, 2-1 AAC) versus the East Carolina Pirates (9-8, 1-3 AAC) at Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum has a projected final score of 71-65 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of North Texas, who is favored in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 14.

Based on our computer prediction, North Texas projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup versus East Carolina. The over/under is currently listed at 129.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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North Texas vs. East Carolina Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, January 14, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Greenville, North Carolina
• Venue: Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum
• Line: North Texas -3.5
• Point total: 129.5
• Moneyline (to win): North Texas -170, East Carolina +140

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North Texas vs. East Carolina Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  North Texas 71, East Carolina 65

Spread & Total Prediction for North Texas vs. East Carolina

• Pick ATS: North Texas (-3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (129.5)

North Texas is 7-6-0 against the spread this season compared to East Carolina’s 7-8-0 ATS record. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Mean Green are 7-6-0 and the Pirates are 9-6-0. The teams combine to score 145.6 points per game, 16.1 more points than this matchup’s total. North Texas has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over the last 10 contests. East Carolina has gone 5-5 against the spread and 3-7 overall in its last 10 contests.

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North Texas Performance Insights

• The Mean Green average 69.2 points per game (308th in college basketball) while allowing 58.7 per outing (fifth in college basketball). They have a +158 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 10.5 points per game.
• North Texas wins the rebound battle by 3.7 boards on average. It records 28.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 339th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 25.1 per outing.
• North Texas makes 1.1 more threes per contest than the opposition, 7.4 (218th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.3.
• The Mean Green rank 72nd in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 63rd in college basketball defensively with 86.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• North Texas has committed 3.7 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.6 (23rd in college basketball play) while forcing 13.3 (68th in college basketball).

East Carolina Performance Insights

• The Pirates’ +76 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.4 points per game (148th in college basketball) while giving up 71.9 per contest (211th in college basketball).
• The 36.8 rebounds per game East Carolina accumulates rank 22nd in college basketball, 5.4 more than the 31.4 its opponents grab.
• East Carolina connects on 5.7 three-pointers per game (346th in college basketball) while shooting 27.4% from beyond the arc (358th in college basketball). It is making 2.2 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 7.9 per game at 36.8%.
• East Carolina has committed 1.8 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 10.7 (105th in college basketball) while forcing 12.5 (133rd in college basketball).

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