The matchup between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Tampa Bay Lightning at 7:00 PM ET on Friday has a variety of betting possibilities to consider. With that in mind, here’s an in-depth look at our best bets, along with picks and projections.

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Hurricanes vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.4 goals)

• In 39 of 93 games last season, Carolina and its opponent combined for more than 6.5 goals.
• Tampa Bay played 44 games last season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.
• These two teams averaged 6.9 goals per game between them, 0.4 more than this one’s over/under.
• These teams gave up 5.8 goals per game combined, 0.7 fewer than this one’s over/under.
• The Hurricanes were eighth in goals scored in the league, and the Lightning were fifth.
• This game features the league’s 22nd-ranked (Lightning) and fourth-ranked (Hurricanes) teams last season in terms of defense.

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Moneyline Pick

Hurricanes Moneyline: -133

• The Hurricanes had a 54-31 record when favored on the moneyline last season.
• Carolina had a 48-27 record (winning 64.0% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -133 or shorter.
• The Hurricanes have a 57.1% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Lightning Moneyline: +112

• Last season the Lightning had 15 wins in the 35 games in which they were an underdog.
• Tampa Bay won eight of its 19 games last season when an underdog by +112 or longer on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied, based on the moneyline in this matchup, that the Lightning have a 47.2% chance to win.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Carolina 4, Tampa Bay 2

Hurricanes Points Leaders (2023-24)

• Sebastian Aho was among Carolina’s leading contributors last season, recording 89 points. He averaged 0.4 goals per game, shooting 16.7%.
• Seth Jarvis had 33 goals and 34 assists for Carolina last season, totaling 67 points (0.8 per game).
• With 56 points in 81 games last season (10 goals and 46 assists), Shayne Gostisbehere was a key cog in the Carolina’s offensive efforts.
• Last season for Carolina, Pyotr Kochetkov (23-13-4) posted a 2.3 goals-against average, and a save percentage of .911.

Lightning Points Leaders (2023-24)

• Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov collected 100 assists and 44 goals in 81 games last season, for 144 points.
• Brayden Point was a top contributor for Tampa Bay, with 90 total points. He scored 46 goals and provided 44 assists in 81 games.
• Tampa Bay’s Jake Guentzel had 77 points (30 goals, 47 assists) last season.
• Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy was 30-20-2 last season, giving up 148 goals (2.9 goals against average) with a .900 save percentage (40th in the league).

Hurricanes’ Schedule

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Lightning’s Schedule

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Carolina vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

• Date: Friday, October 11, 2024
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
• Venue: PNC Arena

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